The director’s branch is still very much a “boys club” that likes to wait to award newcomers to the Oscar race, yet we’ve never had this many first-timers vying for spots. Finding a way to differentiate itself will be the biggest hurdle of Minari’s phase two. 3 “The Trial of the Chicago 7” Does Netflix push harder or back off and let it all breathe? Governor Cuomo announced that indoor performance will be allowed to return at 33 percent capacity starting today. They’re not identical movies, certainly, but the contrast is far less stark than 1917 versus Parasite, or Green Book versus. Under the circumstances, I can see a Nomadland win simply becoming a fait accompli. I’m eyeing David Strathairn (“Nomadland”) to take that mantle. If you’re reading this the day after our issue hits newsstands, the Oscar voting period is now closed. A win at SAG would put some wind back in its sails, but the star-studded Netflix film feels too much of a known quantity to pull off the late-breaking comeback. So does this mean Nomadland can start saving a little place in its van for a Best Picture statuette? Read Next: Final SAG Predictions: Best Actress – Carey Mulligan’s Last Stop Before the Oscars. Roma. ... You'd need to subscribe to Netflix, Amazon Prime, Hulu, Disney Plus, HBO Max and the … 2021 Oscar Best Picture predictions include "Nomadland," "Minari," "Trial of the Chicago 7," "Promising Young Woman" and "Sound of Metal." Only The Trial of the Chicago 7 and Minari made it in. Rian Johnson, we’re here to help you out, and you’re welcome. Nine has been the most frequent number, but it’s possible that voters haven’t watched as many movies at home in this unusual year. I spoke to Pike, Blakeson, Wiest and Chris Messina about the movie and its many twists and turns. Minari, on the other hand, is exactly the kind of little movie that would get a boost at SAG, especially if its Best Ensemble trophy came paired with wins for Steven Yeun or Youn Yuh-jung. *Sorry, there was a problem signing you up. One direction could be to European-leaning narratives such as Florian Zeller’s “The Father.” Many voters live in France and Spain, and the original stage version of Zeller’s show was a big hit abroad and could be one of the shockers of nomination morning. It’s both the industry fave and the critical darling.In an awards season with few big Hollywood movies, Nomadland had pulled off the trick of being two Oscar archetypes at once: It’s both the unbeatable steamroller that claims the guild prizes, and the artsy indie that critics love. Its rivals don’t have much room to maneuver. Golden Globes 2021: 'Nomadland,' 'Borat' sequel win top film honors ... Netflix, which went into the Globes with a staggering 42 total nominations, dominated the television categories. Just last year, 1917 took almost every big prize Nomadland has won — the PGA, and the Best Drama/Best Director combo at the Globes — and went on to triumph at the DGAs as well. You\'ll receive the next newsletter in your inbox. Jason Woliner’s “Borat Subsequent Moviefilm” received boosts from winning the Globes’ best picture comedy prize and nabbing a surprise Producers Guild of America nomination. “The Father” could follow a trajectory similar to that of 2013’s “Philomena,” which also missed a PGA nom. The Oscars will look different, but 'Nomadland' would have dominated any year. A lengthy but entertaining acting challenge cements the narratives our final four will ride into the finale. Considering that predictions for April’s Directors Guild Awards have Chloé Zhao’s name written in permanent marker, Nomadland is amassing a near-spotless record in this year’s awards race, with a snub in SAG’s Best Ensemble category the only real blemish. Da 5 Bloods (Netflix) Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix) Mank (Netflix) Minari (A24) News of the World (Universal Pictures) Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) WINNER One Night in … Both are intimate slices of Americana, exploring the promise and the heartbreak of upending your life in search of something bigger. ), that could bring in unexpected nominations for Dominique Fishback in best supporting actress and perhaps an artisan nod or two. George C. Wolfe’s “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” and David Fincher’s “Mank” have landed all the required elements of a best picture nominee. An old-fashioned Western and an old-Hollywood movie definitely speak to the same Academy voter demographic. Only Olivia Colman (“The Father”) seems guaranteed a nomination. Mentions of Nomadland on Weibo, the popular social media site, are blocked, saying the topic violates China's "laws, regulations, and policy." It’s all going down on March 15, when the nominations are announced. What on earth does this coded video mean? Weirdly, this quasi-documentary travelogue may have found itself the Joe Biden of the Oscar race: It’s going to win because people think it’s going to win. It’s got all the momentum, and with this season already sporting a sizable asterisk, the usual qualms about naming a film like this may not apply. If she does win, she would only the second female director to do so, again after Bigelow. Pitta Kathalu review: Netflix anthology is bold but forgettable; Pitta Kathalu review: Netflix anthology is bold but forgettable Pitta Kathalu review: The directors of this Shruthi Haasan, Eesha Rebba, Amala Paul and Saanve Megghana starrer have tried to be bold and daring, but it doesn't go far enough to make this Netflix anthology memorable. Still, the streaming frontrunners will have to get past "Nomadland," which won top trophies at the prestigious Venice and Toronto festivals, and has swept early award season prizes at … American Factory, the Oscar-winning 2019 Netflix documentary from directors Julia Reichert and Steven Bognar, offered a real-life look at how global corporations have turned the … Then there’s Promising Young Woman. PYW’s hopes probably rest on the BAFTAs, where Fennell has a home-field advantage. By Nate Jones. Perhaps the theater wing of the acting branch can bring the long-working thespian to his first nomination. Tough call. 1 “Nomadland” Steady, steady. On Wednesday night, Nomadland took home the Best Picture award at the PGA’s virtual ceremony—a significant win on more than one level, since, in the 31 years since the PGA Awards began, it … The PGA trophy is considered a particularly potent precursor, since not only does the guild share many members with the Academy, they also use a similar type of preferential ballot as the Oscars do. This season might not have room for too many surprises.It’s not quite right to argue, as some pundits have, that this year’s Oscar race is composed entirely of movies no one has seen. It does, however, help star Maria Bakalova, who has become a darling of this year’s quarantine campaign trail. ready availability of many nominees on streaming. Netflix dominated the field with 35 nominations over 16 categories, but "Nomadland," "Minari," and "Judas" all did well. The Machines' Reveals Netflix… There’s not even an Oscar villain this year! While past front-runners had to keep looking over their shoulder at the beloved underdogs lurking in the rearview, Nomadland doesn’t. Every body-breaking horror of capitalism is slowed down and fuzzed away. While the film is still set for theatrical release in China, any mention that references to the film's upcoming release have been removed from various government-sponsored sites. The critically acclaimed film Nomadland and the Netflix miniseries The Queen’s Gambit were among the five book-to-screen adaptations that won Golden Globes at last night’s awards ceremony, held in New York and Beverly Hills, California.. Nomadland, a dramatic film based on Jessica Bruder’s 2017 nonfiction book, Nomadland: Surviving America in the Twenty-First Century, won … Shaka King’s “Judas and the Black Messiah” has had a surge, and with star Daniel Kaluuya seemingly marching toward an Oscar podium (or a virtual unmuted moment? It certainly appears so after Wednesday’s Producers Guild Awards, where Nomadland continued its season-long winning streak by taking the prize for Best Feature. Basil and Ely Kreimendahl Offered Me Free Maple Syrup, It’s Cute Couples Week over here at “Follow Friday.”, 9 Revelations From Demi Lovato’s Heartbreaking New Album. Featuring B-sides from Britney Spears, ’N Sync, M2M, and Billie Piper. Regina King’s “One Night in Miami” has been on this train since its debut at Venice. 4 “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” The nomination is set. Still, it hasn’t been intensely apparent whether they have a passionate following among AMPAS voters. @kn8. (With an asterisk for 2013, when the guild had a tie.) In the case of “Mank,” when the PGA Awards snubbed Paul Greengrass’ “News of the World,” it made it evident that the two films may be drinking from the same awards well, so to speak. But we could see one or two “Marina de Tavira”-type nominations, which is to say, someone who sneaks in without any critics’ or precursor nods. © 2021 Vox Media, LLC. With SAG Awards Next, Does ‘Nomadland’ Have the Oscars Wrapped Up Without Cast Ensemble? The rapper was hospitalized at 11 p.m. on Friday, and reportedly also suffered a heart attack. Demi Lovato and Ariana Grande’s Hot New Collab Would Make the Devil Blush. Alternate: “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (Netflix), Alternate: Regina King, “One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios), Alternate: Mads Mikkelsen, “Another Round” (Samuel Goldwyn Films), Alternate: Sophia Loren, “The Life Ahead” (Netflix), Alternate: Chadwick Boseman, “Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix), Alternate: Jodie Foster, “The Mauritanian” (STXfilms), Alternate: “Mank” (Netflix) – Jack Fincher, Alternate: “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (Netflix) – Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Alternate: “Mulan” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Grant Major, Anne Kuljian, Alternate: “Cherry” (Apple TV Plus) – Newton Thomas Sigel, Alternate: “News of the World” (Universal Pictures) – Mark Bridges, Alternate: “Mank” (Netflix) – Kirk Baxter, Alternate: “One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios) – Scott Wheeler, Sabrina Cruz Castro, Nakoya Yancey, Alternate: “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix) – Renee Tondelli, Dan Kenyon, Julian Slater, Michael Babcock, Thomas Varga, Alternate: “The One and Only Ivan” (Disney Plus) – Nick Davis, Greg Fisher, Ben Jones, Santiago Colomo Martinez, Alternate: “Mank” (Netflix) – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, Alternate: “The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Netflix) – “Hear My Voice (Written by Daniel Pemberton and Celeste), Alternate: “MLK/FBI” (IFC Films) – Benjamin Hedin, Sam Pollard, Alternate: “Burrow” (Disney Plus) – Madeline Sharafian, Alternate: “Call Center Blues” (Topic) – Geeta Gandbhir, Alternate: “The Kicksled Choir” (Fjordic Film) – Torfinn Iverson. The Golden Globes and Critics Choice Awards gave their top prize to Chloé Zhao’s “Nomadland,” which solidified its front-runner status. As any factory or warehouse worker who watches the Amazon scenes knows. Warner Bros. Television is reportedly searching the galaxy for a new home for the series. The Accountant is an exciting crime thriller that's full of intrigue. In sum: The other nominees’ paths to victory are slim, while Nomadland enjoys a wide open road. Nomadland cinematographer Joshua James Richards talks about making the critically acclaimed drama, authenticity, and Chloe Zhao's Eternals. Zhao, too, is considered the favorite for best director. All rights reserved. As anyone who read the book or worked a beetfield harvest knows. “Nomadland,” made for less than $5 million and with many nonprofessional actors, is an unusually low-budget winner for the PGA honor, which has traditionally gone to larger-scale productions. It is hauntingly beautiful, beguiling and poetic while not sugar coating a difficult lifestyle. The question really is whether we will have multiple women in the field of best director. But the A24 movie faces its own hurdles — namely, its many stylistic and thematic similarities with Nomadland. © Copyright 2021 Variety Media, LLC, a subsidiary of Penske Business Media, LLC. There’s more to this crime-thriller series from action maestro Gareth Evans than just bloody mayhem, but none of it transcends the bloody mayhem. Emerald Fennell’s film proved its strength by beating Chicago 7 for the Original Screenplay prize at the WGA, though it too got snubbed in SAG’s Best Ensemble. We all know how that turned out. A conversation with Philip Roth’s biographer, Blake Bailey. Nomadland is a surprisingly balanced look at the van living, nomadic life within America. Other recent front-runners have hit these marks, too, only to falter at the last minute. But I can’t deny that the disruption of the theatrical experience (plus the lack of in-person campaigning) has lent a different tenor to the season — lower stakes, less drama. My final predictions are below, with nine films in best picture. What Happens to New York Theater on April 2? In supporting actor, Kaluuya, along with Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”) and Leslie Odom Jr. (“One Night in Miami”), look ready for their AMPAS night. Aaron Sorkin’s “The Trial of the Chicago 7” is the best bet to challenge “Nomadland” and could lead the day’s tally. The numbers bear this out: In the 11 years since the Best Picture field expanded beyond five nominees, the PGAs have matched the eventual Oscar winner eight times. Nomadland was previouslyly streaming via the Film at Lincoln Center website this evening, on Thursday, December 10, from 7 p.m. EST to 11 … However, while Nomadland missed the cut there, so too did most of the other Best Picture nominees. Among them: Emerald Fennell’s “Promising Young Woman,” which could be a serious contender for not just Carey Mulligan in best actress but also perhaps original screenplay. 'Mank' may have the most Oscar nominations nominations, but 'Nomadland' secured its place as this year's front runner. From mistreatment by ex-managers to manipulation by ex-fiancés. 2 “Minari” Don’t be surprised. The outcomes for the mixture of Black narratives will be interesting to watch unfold. Nomadland the movie is not Nomadland the book. In the acting races, there are many areas of fluidity, particularly best supporting actress, which is without a front-runner at the moment. Before the industry weighed in, Chloé Zhao’s film had already made an impressive run through the tastemaker phase of the season, cementing its status as the cinephile’s choice in the race by nabbing top honors from the Gotham Awards and the National Society of Film Critics. Armie Hammer Exits Tracy Letts’s Broadway Play. After a few years of the Best Picture race coming down to the wire, are we finally in for another good old-fashioned Oscars juggernaut? Giving Ross a few extra days to get his leather pants back on and get out of that bathroom. The numerical rankings are on the individual Academy Award category pages. The film is streaming now on Netflix. Already a subscriber? However, the international crowd may tilt the scale in other ways. If so, there may be anywhere from six to eight contenders in the final year of the sliding scale before the Academy moves back to a guaranteed 10 nominees. So where does it all stand? Critics Choice Awards 2021 Winners List: Nomadland wins Best Film, posthumous win for Chadwick Boseman The 26th annual Critics Choice Awards, hosted by Taye Diggs, was filmed from a … ... but the star-studded Netflix film feels too much of a known quantity to pull off the late-breaking comeback. In theory, if a movie was going to beat Nomadland, it would probably start by winning Best Ensemble at the SAG Awards. In LA, with outdoor everywhere, it feels a bit much at the moment. Log in or link your magazine subscription, This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google, Hollywood’s Six Pathways from Supporting Parts to Stardom, Every Academy Awards Voting Branch Ranked by Taste, We See Taylor Swift Is Up to Her Old Tricks Again, Justin Bieber, BTS, and Ariana Grande Are All Under One Roof Now, DMX Is Hospitalized and in Critical Care After Suffering an Overdose. Meanwhile, Mads Mikkelsen (“Another Round”) and Tahar Rahim (“The Mauritanian”) has risen substantially in the final days of voting. Oscar history suggest we should hold off on the coronation. At whose expense, though? The 78th Golden Globes, hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler, are happening this Sunday, February 28th at 8 p.m. EST, and you know we can't wait to watch.However, if you're like some of us, then you've probably looked at the nominees and thought: "I haven't been to a movie theater in over a year" or "I've never even heard of some of these." The LAPD has opened an investigation following an allegation of rape made against the actor. Variety's film awards editor gives his final predictions for the Oscar nominations on March 15, which can be led by Netflix or "Nomadland." In the leading categories, best actress has a “consensus five” among awards enthusiasts, though Yeri Han (“Minari”), Sophia Loren (“The Life Ahead”) and Zendaya (“Malcolm & Marie”) could be lurking. The former has been on a slight cold streak, getting snubbed in Oscar’s Best Director lineup, and losing at the Writers Guild Awards. Still, it’ll be tricky to see the film picking up the broad support needed to land a nom in the Academy’s top category. Netflix walks in with multiple options, but it’s unclear how many nods it will be able to actually secure. There’s also the question of how many best picture nominees will be chosen. Gary Oldman (“Mank”) or Steven Yeun (“Minari”) could be the casualties. The ready availability of many nominees on streaming has, in some cases, allowed regular moviegoers to sample a greater selection of contenders than in the past. What, exactly, will that look like? Variety and the Flying V logos are trademarks of Variety Media, LLC. (Yes, it’s a small art-house movie that won’t do much to forestall the telecast’s plummeting viewership … but have you seen the competition?) ... (Netflix, which has three of the nominees, does … Does Nomadland Have Best Picture Sewn Up? It’s the Birdman *and* the Boyhood. In best actor, Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”) has been a critics’ favorite but missed out on Globe and SAG critical love. Still, there are a few reasons why I’m increasingly certain that Nomadland can go the distance. The Brits seem to be chafing at their status as an Oscar precursor, though, and they may be tempted to chuck a spanner in the works just for fun. Nomadland blends fiction with reality — Zhao is known for casting nonprofessional actors in her movies, as she does in The Rider and Songs My … Final SAG Predictions: Best Stunt Ensemble – ‘Mulan’ Could Triumph Over ‘Wonder Woman 1984’, Final SAG Predictions: Best Supporting Actress – The Oscar Duel Between Yuh-Jung Youn and Maria Bakalova Continues, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Adapted Screenplay, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Feature, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Production Design, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Cinematography, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Costume Design, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Film Editing, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Makeup and Hairstyling, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Visual Effects, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Score, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Song, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Feature, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best International Feature, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Animated Short, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Short, 2021 Oscar Predictions: Best Live-Action Short, 'Bridgerton' Breakout Regé-Jean Page Will Not Appear in Season 2, Rapper Bhad Bhabie Breaks OnlyFans Record by Earning $1 Million in Six Hours, DMX Hospitalized After Reported Drug Overdose, Ariana Grande, Justin Bieber, J Balvin to See Big Paydays From Scooter Braun Mega Deal, What's Ahead for Regé-Jean Page Post-'Bridgerton', BTS Label Owner HYBE Merges With Scooter Braun’s Ithaca Holdings for $1 Billion (EXCLUSIVE), Taylor Swift Reveals Track List for ‘Fearless (Taylor’s Version)’; Keith Urban Delighted to ‘Join the Band’, Box Office: ‘Godzilla vs. Kong’ Heading to Monster $42 Million-Plus Opening Weekend, ‘Friends’ Reunion for HBO Max Finally Sets Production Date, Demi Lovato Turns a Recovery Narrative Into Musical Theater in ‘Dancing With the Devil… The Art of Starting Over’: Album Review, How ‘Law & Order’ Reclaimed Its Past to Make Points About Our Present, ‘Promising Young Woman’: Emerald Fennell, Margot Robbie, Josey McNamara on Oscars, Disney Bought Time for 'Death on the Nile,' but Armie Hammer Iceberg Is Ahead, Amanda Seyfried Replaces Kate McKinnon in Hulu's Elizabeth Holmes Series, See Action-Packed New Trailer for Marvel’s ‘Black Widow’, Forget Westworld: This New High-End Concierge Firm Helps You Live Out Your Wildest (Legal) Fantasies, Criminal Investigation in Watson Saga Embroils Texans and Sponsors, Spit Out the Artificial Gunk and Try These All-Natural Toothpastes Instead, Space Jam: A New Legacy: Watch LeBron James Take On 'Toons in First Trailer, Ahead of HBO Max Premiere. 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